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A Mid-Year Review of My Trading Themes for 2018

In June, as the people of Argentina nurtured dreams of World Cup glory, their government discreetly reached an agreement with the IMF for a $50bn bailout. Considering the country’s troubled past with international creditors, this was a remarkable about-face by the administration.
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For those who didn’t 'Sell in May and go away'

The summer trading season ‘officially’ begins after Memorial Day in the US, which fell on May 28 this year. For those who didn’t sell in May and go away, there is a lot to stick around for. Yesterday (June 4), the S&P500 made its third attempt to get above the level of 2750.
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Some Themes to Occupy the Minds of Traders in 2018

At this time of year, I focus on key trading themes for the next twelve months. Oil and crypto-currencies stand out from the pack, but for different reasons. Brexit will dominate in Europe and the Yield Curve will give rise to much debate. Trump will face his first real test in the fall.
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Weekly Trend Following Strategy Update

The watchlist continues to perform strongly and many of the stocks have broken out to new highs. I will be placing the India ETF (INDA) on the back burner, as the price gaps on a daily chart are adding an extra level of risk we don't have to embrace in this strong bull market.
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Monthly Market Review - December 1, 2017

November was very positive, with the S&P500 closing up 2.49% for the month. Traditionally, December is the strongest month of the year, closing higher than it opens 78% of the time, but today's price action shows volatility is increasing as we head into the holiday season.
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Is the India Trade Still a Passage to Profits?

The 'India Trade' has been on since May 2014, when Narendra Modi became Prime Minister and INDA (iShares MSCI India ETF) broke above the support/resistance zone centred around $26.80. This vast and beautiful country of 1.3bn people is once again attracting the attention of…
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European Banks Are On The Way Back...Again

This morning, I received the usual batch of emails from money managers. The rotation from US tech into European banks was a recurring theme. When we consult our charts, we notice the Euro-bank party has been in full swing for over a year now and the banks are closing in…
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